Week of 24 to 28 Nov 2025

Where the perimeter sits: AI, SupTech, on-chain AML and the halo effect

  1. Purple cover reading Weekly Zeitgeist, Week of 24th-28th Nov 2025, curated from your top reads this week, with the Fideo logo.
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  2. Big picture page explaining the week's theme of where the perimeter sits across AI, regulation and professional services.
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  3. Section 1, AI in finance from pilots to platforms, covering a decade of AI adoption, converging regulation and visible systemic risks.
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  4. Section 2 on the Central Bank of Ireland's work on unregulated products and the halo effect of regulated brokers.
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  5. Section 2 continued: CPC 2025 from March 2026 will force tighter disclosure, governance and board oversight of off-perimeter selling.
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  6. Section 3 arguing SupTech is an institutional rewrite, citing a BIS paper on how authorities scale SupTech.
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  7. Section 4 on on-chain AML, arguing for behavioural intelligence over transaction-centric monitoring as laundering moves to DeFi.
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  8. Zooming out page linking FinCrime Frontier 2025-26 findings on data and AI governance to the question of who owns the architecture.
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  9. Repeat of the Section 3 SupTech page on authorities changing operating model, skills and governance rather than buying tools.
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This week in 60 seconds

AI is now infrastructure in finance, and regulators are pulling more activity into their orbit than most org charts admit.

  • AI has moved from experimental chatbots to the backbone of underwriting, trading, fraud detection and compliance. The next question is governing concentrated, cross-border AI infrastructure.
  • The Central Bank of Ireland's halo effect work shows consumers assume anything sold through a regulated firm is supervised. CPC 2025 will push brokers to tighten disclosure, governance and oversight.
  • A BIS paper finds SupTech scales only with an integrated data and tech strategy, dedicated structures and tools embedded in daily supervision, not by buying dashboards.
  • On-chain AML needs behavioural intelligence on wallets, contract interactions and cross-chain patterns, as laundering via bridges and smart contracts fragments the trail.
  • FinCrime Frontier 2025-26 findings point to weak data foundations and patchy AI governance, with only a minority of firms having robust validation and drift monitoring.

Try this with your team

If you sell both regulated and unregulated products, review them against the three areas CPC 2025 will tighten: is the regulatory perimeter explicit in your disclosures, who signs off on mixed-product advice, and how does your board monitor off-perimeter selling?

Read this edition as text (4 min)

Big picture

What happened:

This week’s thread running through everything: where the perimeter sits.

AI is now infrastructure in finance, not a side project. Regulators are pulling unregulated products, stablecoins and SupTech into their orbit. And in professional services, partner promotions are quietly telling you which parts of the value chain firms think are actually defensible.

Put differently: the architecture is shifting faster than most org charts, playbooks – and career plans – are willing to admit.

1)AI in finance: from pilots to platforms

Maha Al-Saadi’s post on “AI in Finance: A Decade of Progress and Pathways for Growth” is basically the 2016–2025 autopsy report: AI has moved from experimental chatbots and robo-advisers to the backbone of underwriting, trading, fraud detection and compliance across banking, insurance, capital markets and payments. LinkedIn

Three important undercurrents: Infrastructure actually caught up — better architectures, cloud, data governance and tooling made scale possible.

Regulators in Singapore, the EU, US and UK have all converged (differently) on risk- and principles-based AI governance. LinkedIn

Systemic risks are now visible: concentration on a few models/providers, bias, regulatory fragmentation and AI’s energy footprint.

The next decade isn’t about “does AI work?” – it’s about how you govern concentrated, cross-border AI infrastructure without freezing innovation.

2) Consumer protection: the ‘halo effect’ of regulated brokers

AnneMarie Whelan digs into the Central Bank of Ireland’s work on unregulated products and the so- called “halo effect. ” LinkedIn

The setup:

The CBI doesn’t regulate unregulated products – by definition.

But retail investors have been burned in a series of failed unregulated schemes that were accessed through regulated firms and brokers. LinkedIn

That’s the halo: consumers see a regulated firm’s logo and assume everything in the bundle is supervised and safe. It isn’t.

2) Consumer protection: the ‘halo effect’ of regulated brokers continued

With CPC 2025 landing from March 2026, brokers who straddle regulated and unregulated products will be forced to tighten:

Disclosure – making the regulatory perimeter brutally explicit.

Governance – who signs off on mixed-product advice?

Oversight – how boards monitor “off-perimeter” selling practices.

This is a warning shot: the regulator will increasingly target conduct even when the underlying product sits outside the classic perimeter. LinkedIn

3) SupTech: not an IT project, an institutional rewrite

A ndres Lehtmets zeroes in on a very familiar failure mode: treating SupTech as “buy some tools” instead of “change how we supervise. ” LinkedIn

The BIS paper he cites shows who actually scales SupTech:

They run an integrated strategy for data, tech and transformation – not three competing roadmaps.

They create dedicated SupTech structures that can turn strategy into delivery.

They embed tools in day-to-day supervision instead of letting them die in pilots. LinkedIn

For authorities thinking about 2026 SupTech programmes, the message is blunt: if your operating model, skills mix and governance don’t change, no amount of dashboards will.

4) On-chain AML: behaviour over transactions

Adeel Mirza’s “compliance wake-up call” is aimed at financial crime teams still running models optimised for banks and fiat transfers while criminals migrate to DeFi, cross-chain bridges and swap-based layering. LinkedIn

His core argument:

Traditional transaction-centric models miss how modern laundering uses protocol hops, bridges and smart contracts to fragment the trail.

The response isn’t “more data” in the old sense; it’s behavioural intelligence – decoding wallets, contract interactions and cross-chain patterns as behavioural signatures of illicit actors. LinkedIn

He points to five pillars for effective on-chain monitoring and a new investigative methodology tailored for the blockchain era. The implicit challenge for banks: your existing TM stack likely can’t see half of this.

Zooming out: AI, data and the new perimeter

If you lay these signals alongside the FinCrime Frontier 2025–26 findings – weak data foundations, patchy AI governance and low confidence in detection quality – a pattern emerges.

AI is already systemic in finance, but only a minority of firms have fully-defined AI governance and robust validation/drift monitoring in place.

Data quality and integration remain the biggest drag on effectiveness, even as regulators move closer to direct supervision of high-risk entities.

Pair that with SupTech’s institutional lag and on-chain financial crime moving faster than traditional models, and the perimeter question sharpens:

Who owns the architecture – and who is still just buying tools or selling hours into it?

That’s the real Zeitgeist for Week 8.

3) SupTech: not an IT project, an institutional rewrite

A ndres Lehtmets zeroes in on a very familiar failure mode: treating SupTech as “buy some tools” instead of “change how we supervise. ” LinkedIn

The BIS paper he cites shows who actually scales SupTech:

They run an integrated strategy for data, tech and transformation – not three competing roadmaps.

They create dedicated SupTech structures that can turn strategy into delivery.

They embed tools in day-to-day supervision instead of letting them die in pilots. LinkedIn

For authorities thinking about 2026 SupTech programmes, the message is blunt: if your operating model, skills mix and governance don’t change, no amount of dashboards will.

Sources

  • LinkedInlinkedin.com/posts/mahaalsaadi_ai-in-finance-ugcPost-7393599931418034176-kvPF/
  • LinkedInlinkedin.com/pulse/halo-effect-financial-brokers-unregulated-products-annemarie-whelan-90i
  • LinkedInlinkedin.com/posts/andreslehtmets_making-suptech-work-ugcPost-7399416478300626944-o07o/
  • LinkedInlinkedin.com/posts/mirzaadeel_fc-ugcPost-7395375890182053888-YVPq/
More questions about this edition

When does CPC 2025 start to apply?

The edition says CPC 2025 lands from March 2026, affecting brokers who straddle regulated and unregulated products.

What systemic risks from AI in finance does the edition highlight?

Concentration on a few models or providers, bias, regulatory fragmentation and AI's energy footprint.

Which regulators have converged on AI governance?

Regulators in Singapore, the EU, the US and the UK have converged, in different ways, on risk- and principles-based AI governance.

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